Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Universität Hamburg from 02.03.2019

Polling data

SPD
35.0
±0.0
Grüne
29.0
±0.0
CDU
15.0
±0.0
Linke
9.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
AfD
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+9.3
Grüne
+14.2
CDU
Linke
+4.1
FDP
-5.5
AfD
-6.3
Universität Hamburg – 1069 respondents – 06.01.2019-02.03.2019
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Universität Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 35%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 29%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 9%, FDP 6% and AfD 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +14.2 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 75.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Universität Hamburg. For this purpose, 1069 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 55 days (06.01.2019 - 02.03.2019).

Coalition possibilities

121
Linke
12
SPD
45
Grüne
37
FDP
8
CDU
19
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
82
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + FDP
64
SPD + CDU
64
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
56

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Universität Hamburg. The survey took place between 06.01.2019 and 02.03.2019 among 1069 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 35%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 29%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 9%, FDP 6% and AfD 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.