Germany: Poll by INSA from 12.10.2020

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
35.0
-1.0
Grüne
18.5
±0.0
SPD
14.5
±0.0
AfD
11.0
-0.5
Linke
8.0
+1.0
FDP
7.0
+1.0
Others
6.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+6.5
Grüne
+6.9
SPD
-1.9
AfD
-9.8
Linke
-0.8
FDP
+2.7
INSA – 2084 respondents – 09.10.2020-12.10.2020

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 34% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 35%, Grüne 18.5%, SPD 14.5%, AfD 11%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 52.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2084 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (09.10.2020 - 12.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
53
8.4%
SPD
97
15.4%
Grüne
124
19.7%
FDP
46
7.3%
Union
236
37.5%
AfD
74
11.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
57.1%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
56.5%
CDU/CSU + SPD
52.9%
CDU/CSU + AfD
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 09.10.2020 and 12.10.2020 among 2084 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 35%, Grüne 18.5%, SPD 14.5%, AfD 11%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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