Germany: Poll by GMS from 12.10.2020

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
36.0
-2.0
Grüne
20.0
+1.0
SPD
16.0
+2.0
AfD
10.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+7.5
Grüne
+8.4
SPD
-0.4
AfD
-10.8
Linke
-1.8
FDP
+0.7
GMS – 1005 respondents – 07.10.2020-12.10.2020

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CDU/CSU 36%, Grüne 20%, SPD 16%, AfD 10%, Die Linke 7% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.4 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 55.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (07.10.2020 - 12.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
46
7.3%
SPD
107
17%
Grüne
135
21.4%
FDP
33
5.2%
Union
242
38.4%
AfD
67
10.6%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
59.8%
CDU/CSU + SPD
55.4%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
54.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD
49.0%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
45.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 07.10.2020 and 12.10.2020 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 36%, Grüne 20%, SPD 16%, AfD 10%, Die Linke 7% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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