Germany: Poll by Verian from 21.10.2020

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
35.0
±0.0
Grüne
19.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
AfD
11.0
+1.0
Linke
8.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+6.5
Grüne
+7.4
SPD
-1.4
AfD
-9.8
Linke
-0.8
FDP
+1.7
Verian – 1434 respondents – 15.10.2020-21.10.2020

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Verian shows the following results: CDU/CSU 35%, Grüne 19%, SPD 15%, AfD 11%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 6%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.4 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 53.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 1434 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (15.10.2020 - 21.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
53
8.4%
SPD
101
16%
Grüne
127
20.2%
FDP
40
6.3%
Union
235
37.3%
AfD
74
11.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
57.5%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
55.4%
CDU/CSU + SPD
53.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 15.10.2020 and 21.10.2020 among 1434 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 35%, Grüne 19%, SPD 15%, AfD 11%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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