Lower Saxony: Poll by Allensbach from 03.03.2021

Lower Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
33.0
±0.0
SPD
27.0
±0.0
Grüne
20.0
±0.0
AfD
6.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
CDU
+4.9
SPD
-6.4
Grüne
+5.5
AfD
-4.9
FDP
+0.3
Linke
+2.3
Allensbach – 950 respondents – 03.02.2021-03.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 32% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lower Saxony from Allensbach shows the following results: CDU 33%, SPD 27%, Grüne 20%, AfD 6%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 48.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 950 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 28 days (03.02.2021 - 03.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

135
Majority requires 68 seats
Linke
7
5.2%
SPD
38
28.1%
Grüne
28
20.7%
FDP
7
5.2%
CDU
46
34.1%
AfD
9
6.7%
CDU + SPD
62.2%
CDU + Grüne
54.8%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
54.1%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
54.1%
SPD + Grüne
48.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 03.02.2021 and 03.03.2021 among 950 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, SPD 27%, Grüne 20%, AfD 6%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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