Germany: Poll by Redfield & Wilton Strategies from 06.05.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
22.0
±0.0
Grüne
21.0
±0.0
SPD
16.0
±0.0
FDP
12.0
±0.0
AfD
11.0
±0.0
Linke
11.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
-6.5
Grüne
+9.4
SPD
-0.4
FDP
+7.7
AfD
-9.8
Linke
+2.2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies – 1950 respondents – 05.05.2021-06.05.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Redfield & Wilton Strategies shows the following results: CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 21%, SPD 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 11%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.4 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 40.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Redfield & Wilton Strategies. For this purpose, 1950 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (05.05.2021 - 06.05.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
74
11.7%
SPD
108
17.1%
Grüne
143
22.7%
FDP
81
12.9%
Union
150
23.8%
AfD
74
11.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD
63.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
59.4%
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
53.8%
Grüne + SPD + FDP
52.7%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
51.6%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
46.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies. The survey took place between 05.05.2021 and 06.05.2021 among 1950 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 21%, SPD 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 11%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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