Germany: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 02.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
26.0
+5.0
Union
20.0
-3.0
Grüne
15.0
-2.0
FDP
13.0
±0.0
AfD
12.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+9.6
Union
-8.5
Grüne
+3.4
FDP
+8.7
AfD
-8.8
Linke
-1.8
Trend Research Hamburg – 165 respondents – 30.08.2021-02.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Low number of respondents

Only 165 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 43% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 57% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 20%, Grüne 15%, FDP 13%, AfD 12% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 44.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 165 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.08.2021 - 02.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
47
7.5%
SPD
177
28.1%
Grüne
101
16%
FDP
88
14%
Union
136
21.6%
AfD
81
12.9%
SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne
65.7%
SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP
63.7%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
58.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
51.6%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
51.6%
SPD + CDU/CSU
49.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 30.08.2021 and 02.09.2021 among 165 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 20%, Grüne 15%, FDP 13%, AfD 12% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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