Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 02.09.2021

Polling data

SPD
26.0
+5.0
CDU/CSU
20.0
-3.0
Grüne
15.0
-2.0
FDP
13.0
±0.0
AfD
12.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+0.3
CDU/CSU
-4.1
Grüne
+0.2
FDP
+1.5
AfD
+1.7
Linke
+2.1
Trend Research Hamburg – 165 respondents – 30.08.2021-02.09.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Low number of respondents
Only 165 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 42% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 50% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, FDP 13%, AfD 12% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 58.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 165 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.08.2021 - 02.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
47
SPD
177
Grüne
101
FDP
88
CDU/CSU
136
AfD
81
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
414
SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP
401
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
366
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
325
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
325
SPD + CDU/CSU
313

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 30.08.2021 and 02.09.2021 among 165 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, FDP 13%, AfD 12% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.