Germany: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 16.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
27.0
+1.0
Union
22.0
+2.0
Grüne
15.0
±0.0
AfD
11.0
-1.0
FDP
11.0
-2.0
Linke
7.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+10.6
Union
-6.5
Grüne
+3.4
AfD
-9.8
FDP
+6.7
Linke
-1.8
Trend Research Hamburg – 1097 respondents – 13.09.2021-16.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 43% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 57% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 27%, CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 15%, AfD 11%, FDP 11% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 45.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 1097 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (13.09.2021 - 16.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
47
7.5%
SPD
183
29%
Grüne
102
16.2%
FDP
74
11.7%
Union
150
23.8%
AfD
74
11.7%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
57.0%
SPD + CDU/CSU
52.9%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
52.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
51.7%
SPD + Grüne
45.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 13.09.2021 and 16.09.2021 among 1097 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 27%, CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 15%, AfD 11%, FDP 11% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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