Germany: Poll by YouGov from 22.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
25.0
±0.0
Union
21.0
+1.0
Grüne
14.0
-1.0
AfD
12.0
+1.0
FDP
11.0
+1.0
Linke
7.0
-1.0
FW
2.0
-1.0
Others
8.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+8.6
Union
-7.5
Grüne
+2.4
AfD
-8.8
FDP
+6.7
Linke
-1.8
FW
+0.5
YouGov – 2364 respondents – 16.09.2021-22.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD higher

In 40% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Die Linke higher

In 31% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Freie Wähler lower

In 64% of election polls YouGov rates Freie Wähler lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: SPD 25%, CDU/CSU 21%, Grüne 14%, AfD 12%, FDP 11%, Die Linke 7% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 43.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 2364 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (16.09.2021 - 22.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
49
7.8%
SPD
175
27.8%
Grüne
98
15.6%
FDP
77
12.2%
Union
147
23.3%
AfD
84
13.3%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
55.6%
SPD + CDU/CSU
51.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
51.1%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 16.09.2021 and 22.09.2021 among 2364 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 25%, CDU/CSU 21%, Grüne 14%, AfD 12%, FDP 11%, Die Linke 7% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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