Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Ipsos from 23.09.2021

Polling data

SPD
26.0
-1.0
CDU/CSU
22.0
+1.0
Grüne
16.0
-2.0
FDP
12.0
+2.0
AfD
11.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+0.3
CDU/CSU
-2.1
Grüne
+1.2
FDP
+0.5
AfD
+0.7
Linke
+2.1
Ipsos – 2000 respondents – 22.09.2021-23.09.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Ipsos shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 57.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (22.09.2021 - 23.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
46
SPD
175
Grüne
107
FDP
80
CDU/CSU
148
AfD
74
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
362
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
335
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
328
SPD + CDU/CSU
323

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 22.09.2021 and 23.09.2021 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 22%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.