Germany: Poll by Ipsos from 23.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
26.0
-1.0
Union
22.0
+1.0
Grüne
16.0
-2.0
FDP
12.0
+2.0
AfD
11.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+9.6
Union
-6.5
Grüne
+4.4
FDP
+7.7
AfD
-9.8
Linke
-1.8
Ipsos – 2000 respondents – 22.09.2021-23.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 31% of election polls, Ipsos rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Ipsos shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 51.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (22.09.2021 - 23.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
46
7.3%
SPD
175
27.8%
Grüne
107
17%
FDP
80
12.7%
Union
148
23.5%
AfD
74
11.7%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
57.5%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
53.2%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
52.1%
SPD + CDU/CSU
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 22.09.2021 and 23.09.2021 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 22%, Grüne 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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