Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 23.09.2021

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
26.0
-1.0
Union
25.0
±0.0
Grüne
16.0
+0.5
FDP
10.5
+1.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
-1.0
Others
7.5
+1.5
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
SPD
+9.6
Union
-3.5
Grüne
+4.4
FDP
+6.2
AfD
-10.8
Linke
-3.8
Allensbach – 1554 respondents – 16.09.2021-23.09.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 32% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher

In 63% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 25%, Grüne 16%, FDP 10.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 45.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1554 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (16.09.2021 - 23.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
34
5.4%
SPD
177
28.1%
Grüne
109
17.3%
FDP
72
11.4%
Union
170
27%
AfD
68
10.8%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
56.8%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
55.7%
SPD + CDU/CSU
55.1%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
50.8%
CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD
49.2%
SPD + Grüne
45.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 16.09.2021 and 23.09.2021 among 1554 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 25%, Grüne 16%, FDP 10.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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