Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 23.09.2021

Polling data

SPD
26.0
-1.0
CDU/CSU
25.0
±0.0
Grüne
16.0
+0.5
FDP
10.5
+1.0
AfD
10.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
-1.0
Sonst.
7.5
+1.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+0.3
CDU/CSU
+0.9
Grüne
+1.2
FDP
-1.0
AfD
-0.3
Linke
+0.1
Allensbach – 1554 respondents – 16.09.2021-23.09.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 30% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher
In 61% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 25%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 10.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 56.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1554 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (16.09.2021 - 23.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
34
SPD
177
Grüne
109
FDP
72
CDU/CSU
170
AfD
68
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
358
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
351
SPD + CDU/CSU
347
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
320
CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD
310
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
286

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 16.09.2021 and 23.09.2021 among 1554 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 25%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 10.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.