Germany: Poll by GMS from 03.01.2022

Polling data

SPD
26.0
±0.0
CDU/CSU
24.0
+3.0
Grüne
16.0
±0.0
FDP
12.0
-3.0
AfD
11.0
+1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
-1.0
GMS – 1003 respondents – 29.12.2021-03.01.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 24%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 60.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (29.12.2021 - 03.01.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
184
Grüne
113
FDP
85
CDU/CSU
170
AfD
78
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
382
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
368
SPD + CDU/CSU
354
CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD
333
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
297

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 29.12.2021 and 03.01.2022 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, CDU/CSU 24%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 12%, AfD 11% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.