Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 18.01.2022

Polling data

SPD
27.5
-2.5
CDU/CSU
22.5
+1.0
Grüne
17.0
+2.5
FDP
10.5
-1.0
AfD
10.0
±0.0
Linke
4.5
+0.5
Sonst.
8.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+1.8
CDU/CSU
-1.6
Grüne
+2.2
FDP
-1.0
AfD
-0.3
Linke
-0.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1920 respondents – 15.01.2022-18.01.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower
In 80% of election polls Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 27.5%, CDU/CSU 22.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, FDP 10.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 4.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 62.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1920 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (15.01.2022 - 18.01.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
198
Grüne
122
FDP
76
CDU/CSU
162
AfD
72
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + CDU/CSU
360
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
360
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
320
CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD
310
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
284

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 15.01.2022 and 18.01.2022 among 1920 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 27.5%, CDU/CSU 22.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, FDP 10.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.