Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 20.01.2022

Polling data

SPD
27.5
+1.5
CDU/CSU
23.0
-1.0
Grüne
14.5
-0.5
FDP
12.5
-0.5
AfD
10.0
-0.5
Linke
5.5
+0.5
Sonst.
7.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+1.8
CDU/CSU
-1.1
Grüne
-0.3
FDP
+1.0
AfD
-0.3
Linke
+0.6
Allensbach – 1090 respondents – 06.01.2022-20.01.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 30% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher
In 61% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: SPD 27.5%, CDU/CSU 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14.5%, FDP 12.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.8 growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 58.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1090 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (06.01.2022 - 20.01.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
37
SPD
187
Grüne
98
FDP
84
CDU/CSU
156
AfD
68
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
369
SPD + CDU/CSU
343
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
338
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
322
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
285

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 06.01.2022 and 20.01.2022 among 1090 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 27.5%, CDU/CSU 23%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14.5%, FDP 12.5%, AfD 10% and Die Linke 5.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.