Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by INSA from 09.05.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
27.5
+0.5
SPD
22.5
-0.5
Grüne
19.0
+1.0
AfD
10.5
+0.5
FDP
10.0
-1.0
Linke
3.5
+0.5
Sonst.
7.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+3.4
SPD
-3.2
Grüne
+4.2
AfD
+0.2
FDP
-1.5
Linke
-1.4
INSA – 2086 respondents – 06.05.2022-09.05.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 27.5%, SPD 22.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 10.5%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 3.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 57.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2086 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (06.05.2022 - 09.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
158
Grüne
134
FDP
70
CDU/CSU
194
AfD
74
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
362
CDU/CSU + SPD
352
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
338
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
328
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
292

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 06.05.2022 and 09.05.2022 among 2086 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 27.5%, SPD 22.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 10.5%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.