Germany: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 06.02.2017

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
30.0
±0.0
SPD
30.0
±0.0
AfD
13.0
±0.0
Linke
9.0
±0.0
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+1.5
SPD
+13.6
AfD
-7.8
Linke
+0.2
Grüne
-4.6
FDP
+1.7
Trend Research Hamburg – 854 respondents – 31.01.2017-06.02.2017

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Low number of respondents

Only 854 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 43% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 57% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, SPD 30%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 9%, Grüne 7% and FDP 6%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.6 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 63.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 854 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (31.01.2017 - 06.02.2017).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
60
9.5%
SPD
199
31.6%
Grüne
46
7.3%
FDP
39
6.2%
Union
200
31.7%
AfD
86
13.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD
63.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
51.6%
SPD + Die Linke + Grüne
48.4%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
45.2%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
45.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 31.01.2017 and 06.02.2017 among 854 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, SPD 30%, AfD 13%, Die Linke 9%, Grüne 7% and FDP 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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