Hamburg: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 31.12.2019

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
32.0
±0.0
Grüne
23.0
±0.0
CDU
13.0
±0.0
Linke
13.0
+1.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
AfD
8.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-1.5
Grüne
+4.5
CDU
New
Linke
+1.8
FDP
+5.7
AfD
+0.5
Trend Research Hamburg – 678 respondents – 27.12.2019-31.12.2019

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Low number of respondents

Only 678 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 43% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 57% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 32%, Grüne 23%, CDU 13%, Die Linke 13%, FDP 8% and AfD 8%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, FDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 57.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 678 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (27.12.2019 - 31.12.2019).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
16
13.2%
SPD
40
33.1%
Grüne
29
24%
FDP
10
8.3%
CDU
16
13.2%
AfD
10
8.3%
SPD + Grüne
57.0%
SPD + CDU + FDP
54.5%
SPD + CDU
46.3%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 27.12.2019 and 31.12.2019 among 678 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, Grüne 23%, CDU 13%, Die Linke 13%, FDP 8% and AfD 8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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