Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 31.12.2019

Polling data

SPD
32.0
±0.0
Grüne
23.0
±0.0
CDU
13.0
±0.0
Linke
13.0
+1.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
AfD
8.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+6.3
Grüne
+8.2
CDU
Linke
+8.1
FDP
-3.5
AfD
-2.3
Trend Research Hamburg – 678 respondents – 27.12.2019-31.12.2019
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Low number of respondents
Only 678 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 42% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 50% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: SPD 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 23%, CDU 13%, Die Linke 13%, FDP 8% and AfD 8%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.2 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 65.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 678 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (27.12.2019 - 31.12.2019).

Coalition possibilities

121
Linke
16
SPD
40
Grüne
29
FDP
10
CDU
16
AfD
10
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
69
SPD + CDU + FDP
66
SPD + CDU
56
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + FDP
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 27.12.2019 and 31.12.2019 among 678 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 23%, CDU 13%, Die Linke 13%, FDP 8% and AfD 8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.