Germany: Poll by Verian from 22.01.2020

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
26.0
±0.0
Grüne
21.0
±0.0
AfD
15.0
+1.0
SPD
14.0
-1.0
Linke
10.0
+1.0
FDP
9.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
-2.5
Grüne
+9.4
AfD
-5.8
SPD
-2.4
Linke
+1.2
FDP
+4.7
Verian – 2100 respondents – 16.01.2020-22.01.2020

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Verian shows the following results: CDU/CSU 26%, Grüne 21%, AfD 15%, SPD 14%, Die Linke 10% and FDP 9%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.4 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 42.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 2100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (16.01.2020 - 22.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
66
10.5%
SPD
93
14.8%
Grüne
139
22.1%
FDP
60
9.5%
Union
173
27.5%
AfD
99
15.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD
64.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
59.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
52.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
51.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
49.5%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
47.3%
Grüne + SPD + FDP
46.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 16.01.2020 and 22.01.2020 among 2100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 26%, Grüne 21%, AfD 15%, SPD 14%, Die Linke 10% and FDP 9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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