Germany
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Hamburg
Germany

Germany: Poll by Trend Research Hamburg from 12.09.2017

Polling data

CDU/CSU
36.0
-1.0
SPD
22.0
-2.0
AfD
11.0
+1.0
Linke
10.0
±0.0
FDP
9.0
+1.0
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+11.9
SPD
-3.7
AfD
+0.7
Linke
+5.1
FDP
-2.5
Grüne
-7.8
Trend Research Hamburg – 1042 respondents – 10.09.2017-12.09.2017

Next election: 28.09.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 349.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 50% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 58% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Trend Research Hamburg shows the following results: CDU/CSU 36%, SPD 22%, AfD 11%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 9% and Grüne 7%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.9 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 39.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Trend Research Hamburg. For this purpose, 1042 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.09.2017 - 12.09.2017).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
66
SPD
146
Grüne
46
FDP
60
CDU/CSU
239
AfD
73
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD
385
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
372
CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne
345
CDU/CSU + AfD
312
CDU/CSU + FDP
299
CDU/CSU + Grüne
285

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Trend Research Hamburg. The survey took place between 10.09.2017 and 12.09.2017 among 1042 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 36%, SPD 22%, AfD 11%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 9% and Grüne 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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