Germany: Poll by Forsa from 03.04.2020

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
37.0
+1.0
SPD
17.0
+1.0
Grüne
16.0
-1.0
AfD
9.0
±0.0
Linke
8.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+8.5
SPD
+0.6
Grüne
+4.4
AfD
-11.8
Linke
-0.8
FDP
+1.7
Forsa – 2506 respondents – 30.03.2020-03.04.2020

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 34% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 37%, SPD 17%, Grüne 16%, AfD 9%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 6%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.5 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 58.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2506 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (30.03.2020 - 03.04.2020).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
54
8.6%
SPD
115
18.3%
Grüne
108
17.1%
FDP
41
6.5%
Union
251
39.8%
AfD
61
9.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD
58.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
57.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
56.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD
49.5%
CDU/CSU + FDP
46.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 30.03.2020 and 03.04.2020 among 2506 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 37%, SPD 17%, Grüne 16%, AfD 9%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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