Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 08.08.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
+1.5
Grüne
21.0
-1.0
SPD
19.5
-2.5
AfD
12.0
+1.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+4.9
Grüne
+6.2
SPD
-6.2
AfD
+1.7
FDP
-3.5
Linke
+0.1
Allensbach – 1038 respondents – 05.08.2022-08.08.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 30% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher
In 61% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 19.5%, AfD 12%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 51.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1038 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (05.08.2022 - 08.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
33
SPD
130
Grüne
140
FDP
53
CDU/CSU
194
AfD
80
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
334
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
327
CDU/CSU + SPD
324
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
323
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
303

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 05.08.2022 and 08.08.2022 among 1038 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 19.5%, AfD 12%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.