Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Infratest dimap from 12.10.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
26.0
-2.0
Grüne
20.0
+1.0
SPD
19.0
+2.0
AfD
15.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+1.9
Grüne
+5.2
SPD
-6.7
AfD
+4.7
FDP
-5.5
Linke
+0.1
Infratest dimap – 1225 respondents – 11.10.2022-12.10.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU/CSU 26%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 19%, AfD 15%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 49.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1225 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (11.10.2022 - 12.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
34
SPD
132
Grüne
139
FDP
41
CDU/CSU
180
AfD
104
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
353
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
325
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
319
CDU/CSU + SPD
312
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
312
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
305

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 11.10.2022 and 12.10.2022 among 1225 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 26%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 19%, AfD 15%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.