Germany: Poll by GMS from 25.10.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
28.0
±0.0
Grüne
20.0
-1.0
SPD
18.0
±0.0
AfD
15.0
+2.0
FDP
6.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
9.0
±0.0
GMS – 1002 respondents – 19.10.2022-25.10.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CDU/CSU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 18%, AfD 15%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 50.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (19.10.2022 - 25.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
131
Grüne
145
FDP
43
CDU/CSU
203
AfD
108
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
354
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
348
CDU/CSU + SPD
334
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
319
CDU/CSU + AfD
311

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 19.10.2022 and 25.10.2022 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 18%, AfD 15%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.