Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Kantar from 02.11.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
26.0
+1.0
SPD
21.0
±0.0
Grüne
19.0
-1.0
AfD
14.0
-1.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+1.9
SPD
-4.7
Grüne
+4.2
AfD
+3.7
FDP
-3.5
Linke
+0.1
Kantar – 1516 respondents – 10.11.2022-02.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Kantar shows the following results: CDU/CSU 26%, SPD 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 14%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 51.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1516 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (10.11.2022 - 02.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
34
SPD
142
Grüne
128
FDP
54
CDU/CSU
177
AfD
95
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
359
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
326
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
324
CDU/CSU + SPD
319
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
305
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
304

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 10.11.2022 and 02.11.2022 among 1516 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 26%, SPD 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, AfD 14%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.