Germany
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Elections

Germany: Poll by YouGov from 09.11.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
±0.0
Grüne
20.0
+1.0
SPD
18.0
+2.0
AfD
16.0
+1.0
Linke
6.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
FW
1.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+4.9
Grüne
+5.2
SPD
-7.7
AfD
+5.7
Linke
+1.1
FDP
-6.5
FW
-1.4
YouGov – 1608 respondents – 04.11.2022-09.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 18%, AfD 16%, Die Linke 6%, FDP 5% and Freie Wähler 1%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 45.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 1608 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.11.2022 - 09.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
55.3
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
52.2
CDU/CSU + SPD
50.0
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
46.8
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
45.7

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 04.11.2022 and 09.11.2022 among 1608 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, SPD 18%, AfD 16%, Die Linke 6%, FDP 5% and Freie Wähler 1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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