Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 17.11.2022

Polling data

SPD
18.5
-0.5
CDU
18.5
-0.5
Grüne
18.5
-1.0
Linke
14.5
±0.0
AfD
12.0
±0.0
FDP
6.5
+1.5
Sonst.
11.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
-7.2
CDU
Grüne
+3.7
Linke
+9.6
AfD
+1.7
FDP
-5.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1200 respondents – 16.11.2022-17.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 18.5%, CDU 18.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18.5%, Die Linke 14.5%, AfD 12% and FDP 6.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 49.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (16.11.2022 - 17.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

130
Linke
21
SPD
27
Grüne
27
FDP
10
CDU
27
AfD
18
Majority requires 66 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + SPD
81
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
75
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
64
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + FDP
64
CDU + SPD + FDP
64

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 16.11.2022 and 17.11.2022 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 18.5%, CDU 18.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18.5%, Die Linke 14.5%, AfD 12% and FDP 6.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.