Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
INSA – 1314 respondents – 14.11.2022-18.11.2022
Institute often rates AfD higher
In 30% of election polls, INSA rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 43% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower
In 31% of election polls INSA rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 47.8% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 14.11.2022 and 18.11.2022 among 1314 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 28%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 15%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.