Germany: Election polls by INSA from 18.11.2022

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 28%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 15%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 47.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1314 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (14.11.2022 - 18.11.2022).

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP

56.5

CDU/CSU + SPD

52.1

CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

48.9

SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP

47.8

SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke

45.6

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 47.8% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 14.11.2022 and 18.11.2022 among 1314 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 28%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 15%, FDP 7% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

Germany: Poll by INSA from 18.11.2022

Polling data

Coalition possibilities

Frequently asked questions about election polls

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