Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 24.11.2022

Polling data

CDU/CSU
28.0
±0.0
Grüne
22.0
±0.0
SPD
19.0
±0.0
AfD
14.0
-1.0
Linke
6.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+3.9
Grüne
+7.2
SPD
-6.7
AfD
+3.7
Linke
+1.1
FDP
-6.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1273 respondents – 22.11.2022-24.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU/CSU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, SPD 19%, AfD 14%, Die Linke 6% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 48.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1273 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (22.11.2022 - 24.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
40
SPD
127
Grüne
148
FDP
33
CDU/CSU
188
AfD
94
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
348
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
336
CDU/CSU + SPD
315
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
315
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
315
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
308

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 22.11.2022 and 24.11.2022 among 1273 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, SPD 19%, AfD 14%, Die Linke 6% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.