Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 18.11.2022

Polling data

SPD
26.0
-0.5
AfD
26.0
+1.0
CDU
13.5
+1.5
Grüne
10.0
-2.0
Linke
8.0
+2.0
BVB/FW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
3.5
-1.5
Sonst.
6.0
-0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1922 respondents – 06.11.2022-18.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 26%, AfD 26%, CDU 13.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, Die Linke 8%, BVB/FW 7% and FDP 3.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.7 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 39.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1922 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (06.11.2022 - 18.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
8
SPD
25
Grüne
10
CDU
13
BVB/FW
7
AfD
25
Majority requires 45 seats
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
SPD + CDU + BVB/FW
AfD + CDU + BVB/FW
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 06.11.2022 and 18.11.2022 among 1922 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 26%, AfD 26%, CDU 13.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, Die Linke 8%, BVB/FW 7% and FDP 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.