Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Policy Matters from 15.12.2022

Polling data

SPD
27.0
+4.0
AfD
23.0
+2.0
CDU
17.0
-4.0
Linke
9.0
-9.0
Grüne
7.0
-3.0
FDP
6.0
+3.0
BVB/FW
5.0
+5.0
Sonst.
6.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+1.3
AfD
+12.7
CDU
Linke
+4.1
Grüne
-7.8
FDP
-5.5
BVB/FW
Policy Matters – 1011 respondents – 28.11.2022-15.12.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Policy Matters shows the following results: SPD 27%, AfD 23%, CDU 17%, Die Linke 9%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, FDP 6% and BVB/FW 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.7 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 42.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Policy Matters. For this purpose, 1011 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (28.11.2022 - 15.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

88
Linke
8
SPD
25
Grüne
6
FDP
6
CDU
16
BVB/FW
5
AfD
22
Majority requires 45 seats
AfD + CDU + FDP + BVB/FW
49
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
47
SPD + CDU + FDP
47
SPD + CDU + BVB/FW
46
AfD + CDU + FDP
44
SPD + CDU
41

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Policy Matters. The survey took place between 28.11.2022 and 15.12.2022 among 1011 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 27%, AfD 23%, CDU 17%, Die Linke 9%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, FDP 6% and BVB/FW 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.