Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by INSA from 02.01.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
27.0
+1.0
SPD
20.0
±0.0
Grüne
17.5
-0.5
AfD
15.0
±0.0
FDP
7.5
+0.5
Linke
4.5
-0.5
Sonst.
8.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+2.9
SPD
-5.7
Grüne
+2.7
AfD
+4.7
FDP
-4.0
Linke
-0.4
INSA – 2023 respondents – 23.12.2022-02.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 27%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17.5%, AfD 15%, FDP 7.5% and Die Linke 4.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 51.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2023 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (23.12.2022 - 02.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
145
Grüne
127
FDP
54
CDU/CSU
196
AfD
108
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
358
CDU/CSU + SPD
341
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
326
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
323

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 23.12.2022 and 02.01.2023 among 2023 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 27%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17.5%, AfD 15%, FDP 7.5% and Die Linke 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.