Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 12.01.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
27.0
-1.0
Grüne
21.0
+1.0
SPD
20.0
±0.0
AfD
14.0
-1.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Linke
6.0
+1.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+2.9
Grüne
+6.2
SPD
-5.7
AfD
+3.7
FDP
-5.5
Linke
+1.1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1259 respondents – 10.01.2023-12.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU/CSU 27%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 20%, AfD 14%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 6%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1259 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.01.2023 - 12.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
40
SPD
134
Grüne
141
FDP
40
CDU/CSU
181
AfD
94
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
355
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
322
CDU/CSU + SPD
315
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
315
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
315
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
315

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 10.01.2023 and 12.01.2023 among 1259 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 27%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 21%, SPD 20%, AfD 14%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.