Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by YouGov from 10.01.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
27.0
-3.0
SPD
18.0
-1.0
Grüne
17.0
±0.0
AfD
16.0
+2.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
Linke
6.0
+1.0
FW
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+2.9
SPD
-7.7
Grüne
+2.2
AfD
+5.7
FDP
-3.5
Linke
+1.1
FW
-1.4
YouGov – 1561 respondents – 06.01.2023-10.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD higher
In 39% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Die Linke higher
In 36% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: CDU/CSU 27%, SPD 18%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 16%, FDP 8%, Die Linke 6% and Freie Wähler 1%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 46.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 1561 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (06.01.2023 - 10.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
41
SPD
123
Grüne
116
FDP
55
CDU/CSU
185
AfD
110
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
424
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
363
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
356
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
350
CDU/CSU + SPD
308
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
301
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
294

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 06.01.2023 and 10.01.2023 among 1561 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 27%, SPD 18%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 16%, FDP 8%, Die Linke 6% and Freie Wähler 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.