Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 13.01.2023

Polling data

CDU
31.5
-1.5
AfD
26.0
+3.0
SPD
13.0
-2.0
Linke
10.0
+1.0
Grüne
4.5
-1.5
FDP
4.5
-0.5
Sonst.
10.5
+1.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU
AfD
+15.7
SPD
-12.7
Linke
+5.1
Grüne
-10.3
FDP
-7.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 982 respondents – 06.01.2023-13.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 31.5%, AfD 26%, SPD 13%, Die Linke 10%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 4.5% and FDP 4.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 16.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 982 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (06.01.2023 - 13.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

83
Linke
10
SPD
13
CDU
33
AfD
27
Majority requires 42 seats
CDU + AfD
60
CDU + SPD
46
CDU + Die Linke
43

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony-Anhalt was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 06.01.2023 and 13.01.2023 among 982 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31.5%, AfD 26%, SPD 13%, Die Linke 10%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 4.5% and FDP 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.