Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 16.01.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
24.5
-0.5
SPD
21.5
-1.0
Grüne
17.0
+0.5
AfD
16.5
+2.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
Linke
3.5
-0.5
Sonst.
9.0
-1.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+0.4
SPD
-4.2
Grüne
+2.2
AfD
+6.2
FDP
-3.5
Linke
-1.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1500 respondents – 15.01.2023-16.01.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower
In 80% of election polls Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 24.5%, SPD 21.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 16.5%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 3.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 53.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (15.01.2023 - 16.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
155
Grüne
122
FDP
57
CDU/CSU
177
AfD
119
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
356
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
353
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
334
CDU/CSU + SPD
332
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
299

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 15.01.2023 and 16.01.2023 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 24.5%, SPD 21.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 16.5%, FDP 8% and Die Linke 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.