Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 06.02.2023

Polling data

CDU
26.0
-2.0
SPD
25.0
±0.0
Grüne
20.0
+1.0
AfD
12.0
±0.0
FDP
7.5
+0.5
FW
2.5
±0.0
Linke
1.5
±0.0
Sonst.
5.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU
SPD
-0.7
Grüne
+5.2
AfD
+1.7
FDP
-4.0
FW
+0.1
Linke
-3.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1521 respondents – 03.02.2023-06.02.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 26%, SPD 25%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, AfD 12%, FDP 7.5%, Freie Wähler 2.5% and Die Linke 1.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 58.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1521 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (03.02.2023 - 06.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

110
SPD
30
Grüne
24
FDP
9
CDU
32
AfD
15
Majority requires 56 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
63
CDU + SPD
62
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
56
CDU + AfD + FDP
56
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 03.02.2023 and 06.02.2023 among 1521 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 26%, SPD 25%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 20%, AfD 12%, FDP 7.5%, Freie Wähler 2.5% and Die Linke 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.