Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by Forsa from 27.02.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
31.0
±0.0
SPD
20.0
+1.0
Grüne
17.0
±0.0
AfD
13.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+6.9
SPD
-5.7
Grüne
+2.2
AfD
+2.7
FDP
-6.5
Linke
+0.1
Forsa – 2501 respondents – 21.02.2023-27.02.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 13%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 46.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2501 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (21.02.2023 - 27.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
34
SPD
139
Grüne
118
FDP
34
CDU/CSU
215
AfD
90
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD
354
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
339
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
333
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
291
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
291

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 21.02.2023 and 27.02.2023 among 2501 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, AfD 13%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.