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Elections

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 01.03.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
32.0
+8.0
SPD
23.5
-0.5
Grüne
15.5
-2.5
AfD
14.0
-0.5
FDP
5.0
-1.5
Linke
3.0
-0.5
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+7.9
SPD
-2.2
Grüne
+0.7
AfD
+3.7
FDP
-6.5
Linke
-1.9
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1419 respondents – 27.02.2023-01.03.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower
In 77% of election polls Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 32%, SPD 23.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, AfD 14%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 48.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1419 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.02.2023 - 01.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

CDU/CSU + SPD
61.7
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
52.8
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
48.9

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 27.02.2023 and 01.03.2023 among 1419 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 32%, SPD 23.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.5%, AfD 14%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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