Germany
Election trend
Parties

Germany: Poll by INSA from 22.05.2023

Polling data

CSU
40.0
±0.0
Grüne
15.0
-4.0
AfD
12.0
+2.0
FW
11.0
+2.0
SPD
11.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CSU
Grüne
+0.2
AfD
+1.7
FW
+8.6
SPD
-14.7
FDP
-6.5
Linke
-2.9
INSA – 1000 respondents – 16.05.2023-22.05.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CSU lower
In 33% of election polls INSA rates CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CSU 40%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, AfD 12%, Freie Wähler 11%, SPD 11%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Freie Wähler might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.6 growth since the last election. CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 33.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (16.05.2023 - 22.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

180
SPD
21
Grüne
29
FDP
9
CSU
77
FW
21
AfD
23
Majority requires 91 seats
CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
106
CSU + AfD
100
CSU + Freie Wähler
98
CSU + SPD
98
CSU + FDP
86

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 16.05.2023 and 22.05.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 40%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, AfD 12%, Freie Wähler 11%, SPD 11%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.