Germany: Poll by INSA from 11.09.2023

Polling data

CDU
29.0
±0.0
SPD
20.0
-2.0
Grüne
19.0
+1.0
AfD
15.0
+2.0
FDP
6.0
-1.0
FW
4.0
+1.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
Others
4.0
±0.0
INSA – 1000 respondents – 04.09.2023-11.09.2023

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 71.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU 29%, SPD 20%, Grüne 19%, AfD 15%, FDP 6%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 43.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (04.09.2023 - 11.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

110
Majority requires 56 seats
SPD
25
22.7%
Grüne
23
20.9%
FDP
7
6.4%
CDU
36
32.7%
AfD
19
17.3%
CDU + AfD + FDP
56.4%
CDU + SPD
55.5%
CDU + Grüne
53.6%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
50.0%
CDU + AfD
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 04.09.2023 and 11.09.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 29%, SPD 20%, Grüne 19%, AfD 15%, FDP 6%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.