Germany
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Brandenburg
Germany

Germany: Poll by INSA from 18.09.2023

Polling data

CDU/CSU
26.5
-0.5
AfD
21.0
±0.0
SPD
17.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.5
-0.5
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
FW
3.5
+0.5
Sonst.
6.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+2.4
AfD
+10.7
SPD
-8.7
Grüne
-0.3
FDP
-5.5
Linke
+0.1
FW
+1.1
INSA – 2008 respondents – 15.09.2023-18.09.2023

Next election: 28.09.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 375.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 26.5%, AfD 21%, SPD 17%, Grüne 14.5%, FDP 6%, Die Linke 5% and Freie Wähler 3.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 41.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (15.09.2023 - 18.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

630
Linke
35
SPD
119
Grüne
101
FDP
42
CDU/CSU
186
AfD
147
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
406
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
347
CDU/CSU + AfD
333
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
329
CDU/CSU + SPD
305
CDU/CSU + Grüne
287

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 15.09.2023 and 18.09.2023 among 2008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 26.5%, AfD 21%, SPD 17%, Grüne 14.5%, FDP 6%, Die Linke 5% and Freie Wähler 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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