Germany: Poll by GMS from 05.02.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
32.0
-1.0
AfD
18.0
-5.0
SPD
16.0
+2.0
Grüne
13.0
±0.0
BSW
5.0
+5.0
FDP
4.0
-2.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Linke
2.0
-1.0
Sonst.
7.0
+2.0
GMS – 1012 respondents – 31.01.2024-05.02.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 18%, SPD 16%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, BSW 5%, FDP 4%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 34.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1012 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (31.01.2024 - 05.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

CDU/CSU + AfD
59.5
CDU/CSU + SPD
57.1
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
53.6

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 31.01.2024 and 05.02.2024 among 1012 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 18%, SPD 16%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, BSW 5%, FDP 4%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.