Germany: Poll by INSA from 19.02.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
30.5
-0.5
AfD
19.5
+0.5
SPD
14.5
+0.5
Grüne
12.5
-0.5
BSW
7.5
-0.5
FDP
4.5
+0.5
Linke
3.5
+0.5
FW
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.5
-0.5
INSA – 2007 respondents – 16.02.2024-19.02.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30.5%, AfD 19.5%, SPD 14.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12.5%, BSW 7.5%, FDP 4.5%, Die Linke 3.5% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 32.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 2007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.02.2024 - 19.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
108
Grüne
93
BSW
56
CDU/CSU
228
AfD
145
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + AfD
373
CDU/CSU + SPD
336
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
321

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 16.02.2024 and 19.02.2024 among 2007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30.5%, AfD 19.5%, SPD 14.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12.5%, BSW 7.5%, FDP 4.5%, Die Linke 3.5% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.