Germany: Poll by Ipsos from 03.03.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
-1.0
AfD
18.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.0
+1.0
BSW
7.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
+1.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
+1.0
Ipsos – 2000 respondents – 01.03.2024-03.03.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Ipsos shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 38.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (01.03.2024 - 03.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
107
Grüne
100
BSW
50
FDP
36
CDU/CSU
208
AfD
129
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
415
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
365
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + BSW
358
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
351
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
344
CDU/CSU + AfD
337
CDU/CSU + SPD
315
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
308

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.03.2024 and 03.03.2024 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.