Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 14.03.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
34.0
+2.0
AfD
16.0
-2.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.0
±0.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
+1.0
Allensbach – 1027 respondents – 01.03.2024-14.03.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 30% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher
In 61% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: CDU/CSU 34%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 37.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1027 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (01.03.2024 - 14.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
104
Grüne
97
BSW
48
FDP
34
CDU/CSU
236
AfD
111
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + AfD
347
CDU/CSU + SPD
340
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
333
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
318

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 01.03.2024 and 14.03.2024 among 1027 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 34%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.