Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 14.03.2024

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
34.0
+2.0
AfD
16.0
-2.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.0
±0.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+5.5
AfD
-4.8
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+2.4
BSW
+2.1
FDP
+0.7
Linke
-5.8
Allensbach – 1027 respondents – 01.03.2024-14.03.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 33% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher

In 64% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 42% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: CDU/CSU 34%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 54.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1027 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (01.03.2024 - 14.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
104
16.5%
Grüne
97
15.4%
BSW
48
7.6%
FDP
34
5.4%
Union
236
37.5%
AfD
111
17.6%
CDU/CSU + AfD
55.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
52.9%
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
50.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 01.03.2024 and 14.03.2024 among 1027 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 34%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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