Germany: Poll by Verian from 19.03.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
29.0
-1.0
AfD
18.0
±0.0
SPD
17.0
+1.0
Grüne
15.0
±0.0
BSW
5.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
8.0
-1.0
Verian – 1480 respondents – 13.03.2024-19.03.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Verian shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 18%, SPD 17%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, BSW 5%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 41.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Verian. For this purpose, 1480 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (13.03.2024 - 19.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
120
Grüne
107
BSW
35
FDP
35
CDU/CSU
206
AfD
127
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
348
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + BSW
348
CDU/CSU + AfD
333
CDU/CSU + SPD
326
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
313

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Verian. The survey took place between 13.03.2024 and 19.03.2024 among 1480 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 18%, SPD 17%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, BSW 5%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.