Saxony: Poll by Civey from 02.04.2024

Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
31.0
-2.0
AfD
30.0
-7.0
BSW
10.0
+10.0
Grüne
6.0
-1.0
SPD
6.0
+3.0
Linke
5.0
-3.0
FDP
3.0
+2.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
CDU
-0.9
AfD
-0.6
BSW
-1.8
Grüne
+0.9
SPD
-1.3
Linke
+0.5
FDP
+2.1
FW
+0.7
Civey – 3002 respondents – 19.03.2024-02.04.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Civey shows the following results: CDU 31%, AfD 30%, BSW 10%, Grüne 6%, SPD 6%, Die Linke 5%, FDP 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, FDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 41.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 3002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (19.03.2024 - 02.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
7
5.8%
SPD
8
6.7%
Grüne
8
6.7%
BSW
14
11.7%
CDU
42
35%
AfD
41
34.2%
CDU + AfD
69.2%
CDU + Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
54.2%
CDU + BSW + SPD
53.3%
CDU + BSW + Grüne
53.3%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
52.5%
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
51.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 19.03.2024 and 02.04.2024 among 3002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, AfD 30%, BSW 10%, Grüne 6%, SPD 6%, Die Linke 5%, FDP 3% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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