Germany: Poll by YouGov from 10.04.2024

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
29.0
±0.0
AfD
19.0
±0.0
Grüne
15.0
+1.0
SPD
14.0
-1.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
+1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
FW
1.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+0.5
AfD
-1.8
Grüne
+3.4
SPD
-2.4
BSW
+2.1
FDP
+0.7
Linke
-4.8
FW
-0.5
YouGov – 2013 respondents – 05.04.2024-10.04.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD higher

In 40% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 36% of election polls, YouGov rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Die Linke higher

In 30% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Freie Wähler lower

In 64% of election polls YouGov rates Freie Wähler lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 19%, Grüne 15%, SPD 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 4% and Freie Wähler 1%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 48.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 2013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (05.04.2024 - 10.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
99
15.7%
Grüne
106
16.8%
BSW
50
7.9%
FDP
35
5.6%
Union
206
32.7%
AfD
134
21.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD
65.2%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
57.5%
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
56.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
55.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
54.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD
54.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
49.5%
CDU/CSU + SPD
48.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 05.04.2024 and 10.04.2024 among 2013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 19%, Grüne 15%, SPD 14%, BSW 7%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 4% and Freie Wähler 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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