Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 25.04.2024

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
30.0
-1.0
AfD
17.0
-1.0
Grüne
15.0
+3.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
BSW
5.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
+1.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
10.0
±0.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1228 respondents – 13.04.2024-25.04.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 5.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 37% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 17%, Grüne 15%, SPD 15%, BSW 5%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 36.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1228 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (13.04.2024 - 25.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
115
18.3%
Grüne
115
18.3%
BSW
38
6%
Union
231
36.7%
AfD
131
20.8%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.5%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.9%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
54.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 13.04.2024 and 25.04.2024 among 1228 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 17%, Grüne 15%, SPD 15%, BSW 5%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.