Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 18.04.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
32.5
-1.5
AfD
16.0
±0.0
SPD
16.0
+1.0
Grüne
15.0
+1.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
+1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.5
-1.5
Allensbach – 1041 respondents – 05.04.2024-18.04.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 31% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher
In 62% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: CDU/CSU 32.5%, AfD 16%, SPD 16%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, BSW 7%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.4 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 40.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1041 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (05.04.2024 - 18.04.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
109
Grüne
102
BSW
48
FDP
41
CDU/CSU
221
AfD
109
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD
330
CDU/CSU + AfD
330
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
323
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
310

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 05.04.2024 and 18.04.2024 among 1041 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 32.5%, AfD 16%, SPD 16%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15%, BSW 7%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.